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Er det slut med sjovt nu?

(Kommentar af Guy Sproessel) Er den tyske trafiklysregering i krise? Det virker sådan. Hvad FDP tillader sig, er et klart brud på koalitionsaftalen. Og fordi FDP-leder Christian Lindner er "drevet" af sit eget parti, forstår jeg ikke, hvorfor SPD og De Grønne tillod deres koalitionspartner at opføre sig på denne måde. Med sund fornuft må man regne med, at SPD og "De Grønne" ikke vil drage de nødvendige konklusioner og rydde vejen for nyvalg. Det må være åbenlyst, at både SPD og "De Grønne" i stigende grad mister troværdighed og dermed blokerer for chancen for et fremtidigt regeringsflertal uden en tredje koalitionspartner.

Accepterer vi situationen ved nyvalget, vil vi formentlig opleve følgende: CDU bliver det eneste unionsparti, der kommer ind i parlamentet, FDP vil næppe have en chance for pladser i parlamentet; LINKE har afviklet sig selv i indeværende valgperiode, det højreorienterede AfD vil "arve" en stor del af stemmerne fra CSU og FDP. Det betyder, at vi kan forvente nogenlunde det samme antal mandater til SPD, CDU og AfD. De "Grønne" vil miste mange pladser i parlamentet, fordi de for nylig blev opgivet af SPD og afviklet af Unionen og FDP.

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Is it over funny now?

(Comment by Guy Sproessel) Is the German traffic light government in crisis? It seems so. What the FDP allows itself is a clear violation of the coalition agreement. And because FDP leader Christian Lindner is "driven" by his own party, I don't understand why the SPD and the Greens party allowed their coalition partner to behave in this way. With common sense, one has to reckon with the fact that the SPD and “The Greens” will not draw the necessary conclusions and clear the way for new elections. It must be obvious that both the SPD and the "Greens" are increasingly losing credibility and are thus blocking the chance of a future government majority without a third coalition partner.

If we accept the situation in the new elections, we will probably experience the following: the CDU will be the only Union party to enter parliament, the FDP will hardly have a chance of seats in parliament; The LINKE has dismantled itself in the current election period, the right-wing AfD will “inherit” a large part of the votes from the CSU and FDP. This means that we can expect roughly the same number of mandates for the SPD, CDU and AfD. The "Greens" will lose many seats in parliament because they were recently given up by the SPD and dismantled by the Union and FDP.

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